Thursday’s selection in Hansupfordetroit continued the poor run of form for the blog, finishing 2nd after looking for a while that the race was at his mercy. His front-running rival fell about 4 out and he had plenty of distance between himself and the eventual winner, but he always looked that he’d get caught close home. Disappointing stuff. Friday’s selection comes from Musselburgh, it’s a little risky considering there’s at least two really unexposed rivals in the contest but I think his chances have been underestimated due to this and he should go really well.
14:45 Musselburgh: Titus Bolt; 2pts @ 11/1 Coral, BetVictor (Best Odds Guaranteed)
Jim Goldie’s five year old was twice a winner on the flat and is yet to break his maiden tag over hurdles, but he’s shown a good level of form over timber and surely won’t be too long in scoring. The selection has plenty in its favour today, especially compared to when last seen over this C&D on New Year’s Day. Firstly, there is less competition for the lead and if connections choose to front-run, then he won’t be forced to set some tough fractions in the lead. This is what occurred last time and after jumping and travelling well, he had no more to give after going so fast early on. There’s also the possibility that the first-time visor that day had a detrimental effect, considering how keen he was to get along with it, that equipment is removed today which is also a positive. That aforementioned race was a really good contest, and although this is hardly a weak affair, it is definitely a step down the ladder in terms of quality for Titus Bolt. I feel today that he’ll show form similar to what he showed on his penultimate outing at Kelso, when finishing 2nd. That was off a 2lb lower mark in a weaker race than this, but the fact is that if replicating that run, he would be bang there at the finish. The likes of Clever Cookie and Discovery Bay are both unexposed improves, the latter not having the race run to suit last time and with AP McCoy on board, looks the obvious favourite. However, on the bare form, I feel there’s hardly much between them both and our selection, who has “proved” himself in handicap company as having potential for improvement. The better ground today won’t be an issue for Titus Bolt and at double figure odds, I believe he’s worthy of strong support, as I had him at around half the price he currently is at.
Longshot Betting 